
By Courtesy of the Propagation team




G3YLA JIM

G0KYA STEVE

G4BAO JOHN
Its all about the weather

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Pictured :
Jim Bacon G3YLA
NARC club member
and Nick Henwood
RSGB President.

Propogation News
28th November 2025
HF

3
Last week was a mixed bag in terms of solar activity. Yes, we had geomagnetic disturbances, but they were never really that bad, with a maximum Kp index of five, and that was for only one three-hour period.
This was mainly due to two large coronal holes on the Sun, which saw the solar wind speed increase to around 700-740 km/s. There have been coronal mass ejections, but these have been on the far side of the Sun and so didn’t affect us.
Meanwhile, the solar flux index has continued its downward trend, being in the range 116-121 over the week.
There has been DX to be worked. The CDXC Slack group reports ZD7VJ (St Helena Island) has been worked on 40m CW, along with 3GOYR (Easter Island), also on 40m CW. Many other stations have been setting up for the CQ Worldwide CW contest over the last week, so there has been DX around.
Also, DXSummit reports 3B8/E70A (Mauritius) on 15m FT8, VR2KF (Hong Kong) on 10m CW and S21RW (Bangladesh) on 10m SSB.
Next week, NOAA predicts that the solar flux index will pick up, perhaps hitting 155 by the first of December and 175 by the sixth. Only time will tell if this prediction is correct. Meanwhile, the Kp index is forecast to start the week at a low two, but then increase to five by the third, marking three days of disturbed conditions.
Quiet geomagnetic conditions are forecast for the weekend of the 29th/30th, which bodes well for CQWW CW.
VHF and up

The recent unsettled weather is continuing to dominate the big weather picture for the coming week or two. With such a complex pattern, be prepared for big changes in timings of these big weather systems at longer lead times.
It’s worth keeping a watch on forecasts from day to day to pick the bigger storms out in time to make sure your antennas are secure. Having said that, in propagation terms, this type of pattern is poor for any Tropo prospects, and the best benefit is again likely to be potential rain scatter from heavier rain.
Last Wednesday saw some interesting dry-weather 24GHz propagation over the North Sea. At the Margate 24GHz WebSDR, the newly-repaired Flanders beacon ON0HVL was copiable all day until around 2000, until a band of humid air hit the path from the West, taking out both ON0HVL and GB3PKT. The latter returned to normal on Thursday morning.
We are now exiting the broader span of the Leonids meteor shower with a gap driven by random meteors until mid-December when the Geminids arrive. There have been a few minor auroral moments, although not particularly noteworthy in a radio sense. But in the absence of any Tropo, perhaps it’s still worth keeping an eye on the Kp index going above Kp=5 to provide a little excitement. Lastly, we had some more out-of-season Sporadic-E on 50MHz last week, so keep an ear open for that.
For EME operators, Moon declination is rising and goes positive again on Saturday, the 11th so that means more Moon time and higher peak elevation in the upcoming week. Path losses are low and falling further as we approach perigee on Thursday the 4th. 144 MHz Sky noise is low all week, climbing to moderate at the end of the week
And that’s all from the propagation team this week.
G3YLA JIM


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G0KYA STEVE
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