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 By Courtesy of the Propagation team   

 G3YLA JIM 

 G0KYA STEVE  

 G4BAO  JOHN  

Its all about the weather

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Link : Windy.com

Live Weather Reports

Pictured :

Jim Bacon G3YLA

NARC club member

and Nick Henwood

RSGB President.

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Propogation News


   23rd January 2026   

 

 HF

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3

This week featured a massive aurora that couldn’t have been predicted in the previous report. The cause was a large Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejection on Sunday January 18th at 18:08hrs UTC.

The solar wind speed was above 1,100 kilometres per second, so the impact on Earth arrived sooner than expected. The result was that the Kp index rose to 8.33 at around 19:38hrs UTC on Monday 19th, sparking widespread aurora.

The aurora was visible from Devon, such was its intensity, and the Kp index was still at eight the following day. HF was badly affected with MUFs over a 3,000km path struggling to reach 14 MHz on January 20th.

Luckily, things have now calmed down, but it shows that it is worthwhile keeping an eye on solarham.com for daily updates.

HF DX was a little sparse during the height of the geomagnetic storm, but has since recovered. 8Q7JI in the Maldives was reported as being worked on 20m FT8 in the afternoon of Wednesday 21st.

The KP5/NP3VI Desecheo Island DXpedition continues and has been worked from the UK by better-equipped stations. 9X2AW Rwanda will also be operating holiday-style for the next two weeks. Lastly, VP2EIO Anguilla
will be active from January 24-31, also holiday style, on both FT8 and some SSB.

Next week, NOAA predicts that the solar flux index will start next week around 175, but decline to 165 by Friday 30th. Geomagnetic conditions are forecast to be reasonable, at least until the 28th, when we may expect a Kp index of four or five over a three-day period.

VHF and up

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The mild unsettled weather pattern is probably going to transform into a cold unsettled pattern during the next week, but staying essentially unsettled with active weather fronts or heavy showers bringing plenty of opportunity for rain scatter on the GHz bands. Once again, it seems that Tropo will be limited, although like last week it can enhance conditions temporarily in between active weather systems.

After the good Auroral and Auroral E propagation on VHF of early last week, we are in quieter territory now, although as usual a daily check on the Kp index will ensure you keep in touch with any sign of a recurrence. As for meteor scatter, we are now firmly in the random meteor period for several weeks and, with no major showers available, the best times will usually be in the early hours before sunrise.

Lastly, a mention of Sporadic-E, which might crop up as brief spikes on the www.propquest.co.uk graphs. The foEs values (in January) show as isolated peaks to 5-7MHz, which is approximately equivalent to 10m and 6m. Perhaps a good way to see where the prospects exist is by using dxmaps.com to find current Es paths on 10m and 6m.

A second hint can be found by looking at the Es blog tab on Propquest to see where the main weather jet streams are located, since Es paths are often associated with jet streams, especially where they cross mountain ranges like the Pyrenees or Alps.

July this year sees maximum Moon declination coinciding with lowest path losses in the Northern Hemisphere, so there’s never been a better time to get QRV on EME.

This week, Moon declination is positive and rising, so Moon window length and peak elevation are increasing. Path losses are falling as we approach perigee on the 29th. 144 MHz sky noise is low, rising to moderate on the 29th.

 

 G3YLA JIM 

 Please read
user notes on website.             

 G0KYA STEVE  

Communications and PR for hi-tech and aerospace companies

  STEVE 's  Beacon List 

G3USF's Worldwide List of HF Beacons

G3USF's Worldwide List Of 50MHz Beacons

Understanding Solar Indices

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